Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.445162 0.488659 0.535269 0.589049 0.649540 0.715642 0.793569
2025-11-09 0.366652 0.425601 0.493227 0.577040 0.678807 0.799235 0.953818
2025-11-16 0.328374 0.395735 0.476667 0.582068 0.717181 0.886581 1.118255
2025-11-23 0.296787 0.368208 0.457173 0.577682 0.739064 0.951224 1.257199
2025-11-30 0.275089 0.349882 0.445992 0.580724 0.768273 1.025566 1.415101
2025-12-07 0.253334 0.328991 0.428790 0.572843 0.780165 1.075366 1.541975
2025-12-14 0.235061 0.310937 0.413384 0.565190 0.790382 1.122171 1.668102
2025-12-21 0.215655 0.289708 0.391672 0.546166 0.781365 1.138307 1.746686
2025-12-28 0.207369 0.283285 0.390073 0.555885 0.815675 1.223224 1.946197
2026-01-04 0.199240 0.276395 0.387081 0.562895 0.845875 1.303957 2.148357
2026-01-11 0.190994 0.268701 0.382208 0.566327 0.870204 1.376861 2.345602
2026-01-18 0.183196 0.261117 0.376869 0.568370 0.892037 1.447159 2.546846
2026-01-25 0.176418 0.254794 0.373228 0.573152 0.919424 1.531011 2.788554
2026-02-01 0.166388 0.242915 0.360185 0.561465 0.917255 1.561325 2.928241
2026-02-08 0.160833 0.237648 0.357220 0.566331 0.944593 1.648917 3.199464
2026-02-15 0.153832 0.229678 0.349353 0.562088 0.954777 1.704427 3.409770
2026-02-22 0.148809 0.224575 0.345817 0.565030 0.978364 1.788514 3.697287
2026-03-01 0.142142 0.216444 0.336750 0.557407 0.981016 1.830221 3.892543
2026-03-08 0.135991 0.208852 0.328157 0.550003 0.983352 1.871309 4.092831
2026-03-15 0.128310 0.198367 0.314090 0.531597 0.962306 1.860273 4.160814
2026-03-22 0.125895 0.196591 0.314925 0.541000 0.998113 1.976875 4.578733
2026-03-29 0.123171 0.194145 0.314427 0.547783 1.029043 2.086123 4.998443
2026-04-05 0.120047 0.190855 0.312237 0.551103 1.052898 2.181815 5.399608